SELECTED MAJOR PUBLICATIONS
“Behaviour within a Clinical Trial and Implications for Mammography Guidelines.” Review of Economic Studies. January 2023. Vol. 90, No. 1: 432-462. [Pre-Publication PDF][Slides] [Problem Set]
Includes content from NBER Working Paper: “Doing More When You’re Running LATE: Applying Marginal Treatment Effect Methods to Examine Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Experiments.”
Awarded the Willard G. Manning Memorial Award for the Best Research in Health Econometrics
“Long-Term Impacts of Childhood Medicaid Expansions on Outcomes in Adulthood” (with David Brown and Ithai Lurie).
Review of Economic Studies. March 2020. Vol. 87, No. 2: 792-821. [Pre-publication PDF and Online Appendix] [BKL Medicaid Calculator Documentation Only] [BKL Medicaid Calculator] [Data and Code]
Coverage: [New York Times] [New York Times] [New York Times] [Connecticut Post] [Academy Health] [Daily Tar Heel] [NBER Digest][Vox]
Finalist for the NIHCM Research Award
“Adverse Selection and an Individual Mandate: When Theory Meets Practice” (with Martin Hackmann and Jonathan T. Kolstad).
American Economic Review. March 2015. Vol. 105, No. 3: 1030-66. [Pre-publication PDF] [Slides] [Data and Code] [Online Appendix] [Problem Set]
Coverage: [Politico] [Robert Wood Johnson Foundation]
Awarded the NIHCM Research Award and the Yale Greer Prize (highlighted as part of research portfolio)
“Estimating Marginal Returns to Medical Care: Evidence from At-risk Newborns” (with Douglas Almond, Joseph J. Doyle, and Heidi Williams).
Quarterly Journal of Economics. May 2010. Vol. 125, No. 2: 591-634.[Online Appendix] [Slides] [Problem Set]
Awarded the HCUP Outstanding Article of the Year Award and the Garfield Economic Impact Award
OTHER PUBLICATIONS
“How to Examine External Validity Within an Experiment.” Journal of Economics and Management Strategy. August 2023. Vol. 32, No. 3: 491-509. [Pre-Publication PDF]
“Reconciling Seemingly Contradictory Results from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment and the Massachusetts Health Reform.” Review of Economics and Statistics. May 2023. Vol. 105, No. 3: 646-664. [Pre-Publication PDF and Online Appendix][Slides] [Data and Code]
Coverage: [NPR Marketplace] [Yale Alumni Magazine]
Includes content from NBER Working Paper: “Doing More When You’re Running LATE: Applying Marginal Treatment Effect Methods to Examine Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Experiments.”
“Mammograms and Mortality: How Has the Evidence Evolved?” Journal of Economic Perspectives. Spring 2021. Vol. 35, No. 2: 191-216. [Pre-Publication PDF] [Online Appendix] [Data and Code]
“Evaluation of Combined Financial Incentives and Deposit Contract Intervention for Smoking Cessation: A Randomized Controlled Trial” (with Daren R. Anderson, Samantha Horn, Dean Karlan, Jody L. Sindelar, and Jonathan Zinman).
Journal of Smoking Cessation. March 2021. Vol. 2021, Article ID 6612505. [Data and Code]
“Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimation with Stata” (with Victor Chernozhukov, Ivan Fernandez-Val, and Sukjin Han).
Stata Journal. December 2019. Vol. 19, No. 4: 768–781. [Pre-Publication PDF][Stata Command to Implement CQIV]
“Mandate-Based Health Reform and the Labor Market: Evidence from the Massachusetts Reform” (with Jonathan T. Kolstad).
Journal of Health Economics. February 2016. Vol. 47. 81-106. [Pre-publication PDF] [Online Appendix] [Slides] [Problem Set]
Coverage: [Yale Daily News] [Boston Herald][Washington Examiner] [New York Times Economix Blog]
Video Presentation on Health Reform and the Labor Market: [Brookings Event on The Future of U.S. Health Care Spending, April 2014] [Slides]
“Censored Quantile Instrumental Variable Estimates of the Price Elasticity of Expenditure on Medical Care.”
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. January 2016. Vol. 34, No. 1: 107-117. [Pre-publication PDF] [Online Appendix] [Data Appendix] [Stata Command to Implement CQIV]
Awarded the Zellner Thesis Award in Econometrics and Statistics
“Estimating the Tradeoff Between Risk Protection and Moral Hazard with a Nonlinear Budget Set Model of Health Insurance.”
International Journal of Industrial Organization. November 2015. Vol. 43: 122-135. [Pre-publication PDF] [Slides] [Online Appendix] [Data Appendix]
“Quantile Regression with Censoring and Endogeneity” (with Victor Chernozhukov and Ivan Fernandez-Val).
Journal of Econometrics. May 2015. Vol. 186: 201-221. [Pre-publication PDF] [Stata Command to Implement CQIV]
“The Early Impact of the Affordable Care Act State-by-State”
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Fall 2014:277-333. [Pre-publication PDF] [Full Slides] [Video Summary by Justin Wolfers] [Interactive Map] [Data and Code] [Online Appendix]
Coverage: [Washington Post Blog] [Wall St Journal Blog] [Forbes] [Motley Fool] [Vox]
Radio Interview on Early Impact of the ACA: [Top of Mind with Julie Rose, July 2015]
“The Impact of Health Care Reform on Hospital and Preventive Care: Evidence from Massachusetts” (with Jonathan T. Kolstad).
Journal of Public Economics. December 2012. Vol. 96. 909-929. [Pre-publication PDF] [Slides]
Coverage: [NBER Digest] [Knowledge@Wharton] [Newsweek] [The Economist Online] [NPR WBUR CommonHealth]
Video Presentations of Massachusetts Research:
[Yale Panel on the Economy and the Election, November 2012] [Slides]
[ISPS Health At Yale, September 2013] [Slides]
“Health Reform, Health Insurance, and Selection: Estimating Selection into Health Insurance Using the Massachusetts Health Reform” (with Martin Hackmann and Jonathan T. Kolstad).
American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings. May 2012. Vol. 102, No. 3: 498-501.
“The Role of Hospital Heterogeneity in Measuring Marginal Returns to Medical Care: A Reply to Barreca, Guldi, Lindo, and Waddell” (with Douglas Almond, Joseph J. Doyle, and Heidi Williams).
Quarterly Journal of Economics. November 2011. Vol. 126, No. 4: 2125-2131. [Pre-publication PDF]
Response to comment on “Estimating Marginal Returns to Medical Care: Evidence from At-Risk Newborns”
“State Health Insurance Regulations and the Price of High-Deductible Policies” (with William J. Congdon and Mark H. Showalter).
Forum for Health Economics & Policy. 2008. Vol. 11: Iss. 2 (Health Care Reform), Article 8.
Coverage: [Wall Street Journal]
WORKING PAPERS
“Politics, Hospital Behavior, and Health Care Spending” (with Zack Cooper, Eleanor Neff Powell, and Jennifer Wu).
[Pre-publication PDF]
Coverage: [The Economist] [Politico] [New York Times]
Accepted, Journal of Health Economics.
“Counting Defiers: Examples from Health Care.”
arXiv:1912.06739. Latest Version: September 2020. [Slides]
Previously circulated as “General Finite Sample Inference for Experiments with Examples from Health Care.” Supersedes and combines two previous working papers: “A Model of a Randomized Experiment with an Application to the PROWESS Clinical Trial.” NBER Working Paper 25670. First Version: March 2019. “Counting Defiers.” NBER Working Paper 25671. First Version: March 2019.
“What Do Longitudinal Data on Millions of Hospital Visits Tell Us About Public Health Insurance as a Safety Net for the Young and Privately Insured?”
NBER Working Paper 20887. Latest Version: January 2015. [Slides] [Data Appendix]
Revising and extending with Kurt Lavetti and Lee Lockwood as coauthors.