I am associate professor of political science and public policy (by courtesy), and a faculty associate in the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan. I study how presidents use power, how Congress oversees the executive, and how unelected officials implement policy. My book on the American presidency was just released:

…a tour de force that will reorient scholarship on the American presidency.

Frances Lee, author of Insecure Majorities

…an important argument about the fundamental power and behavior of the modern presidency.

David Lewis, Vanderbilt University

…a sharp, incisive, and very readable tool for any citizen in our democracy who wants to understand the presidency.

Sarada Peri, former senior presidential speechwriter, The White House

Articles

Peer-Reviewed

When Presidents Limit Bureaucratic Power: Evidence from Abortion Bans, Perspectives on Politics. Forthcoming. (with Ignangeli Salinas-Muniz)

We find in interviews and archival records that bureaucrats prevented Reagan and Bush from implementing more strict abortion bans in U.S. foreign aid. Then, we show how those same presidents ensured Trump, and any future president, would not face the same problems.

Public Responses to Unilateral Policymaking, Journal of Experimental Political Science. Forthcoming. (with Ben Goehring)

We use a pre-registered panel survey, conducted prior to the 2020 election, to show that American presidents don’t tend to pay a penalty for acting unilaterally. Respondents don’t seem to care how policy is enacted, they care about the policy itself and whether the president succeeds in getting it done.

Executive Action that Lasts, Journal of Public Policy. Forthcoming. (with Michael Poznansky)

Using case studies of terrorist detention, police militarizaton, foregin embassy location, and government secrecy, along with an analysis of executive orders between 1937-2021, we explain when executive policymaking has long-term impact. We find, paradoxically, that areas presidents have most discretion over today do the most to constrain the actions of their successors tomorrow.

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Information and Confrontation in Legislative Oversight, Legislative Studies Quarterly. Forthcoming. (with Ayse Eldes and Christian Fong)

Using an expert survey of current and former congressional staff, we show that partisan incentives do not reduce the informational content of exchanges between members of Congress and witnesses in oversight hearings.

[data] [pre-print]

Expertise Acquisition in Congress, American Journal of Political Science. Forthcoming. (with Christian Fong and Adam Rauh)

We examine the uptake of staff training in Congress using records of application, attendance, and employment. We show that staff acquire expertise when they are more secure in their jobs, when there are more opportunities to use that expertise against the executive branch, and also those who acquire expertise work in Congress longer.

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Where is Presidential Power? Measuring Presidential Discretion Using Experts, British Journal of Political Science. 2022. (with Charles Shipan)

We survey experts in the fields of law, social science, and the humanities in order to estimate how much discretion presidents have in 54 policy areas. We then show these measures are associated with the frequency of executive action.

[data] [pre-print]

Executive Power in Crisis, American Political Science Review. 2021. (with Jon Rogowski)

We field a nationally representative, pre-registered survey to measure public tolerance for unilateral executive actions in response to the COVID-19 global pandemic. We find executive action does not depress support for policies, regardless of the local-level severity of the crisis.

[data] [pre-print] [media]

Police Demilitarization and Violent Crime, Nature Human Behaviour. 2021

I find that a presidential executive order that took back military equipment from local police had no detectable impact on crime or officer safety. I then use 3.6 million archived inventory records to show previous studies that find favorable effects for military equipment are likely biased by unobserved attrition and weapons transfers.

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Presidents and the Status Quo, Quarterly Journal of Political Science. 2021.

Analyzing unilateral initiatives at the policy-level from 1993-2016, I show that conventional arguments about when presidents act alone are not supported, and propose thinking of these actions as “false fronts” — moves designed primarily to attract media attention that have little net impact on policy outcomes.

[data] [pre-print]

Congressional Oversight Revisited: Politics and Procedure in Agency Rulemaking, The Journal of Politics. 2021. (with Rachel Potter)

We show that members of Congress who disagree with new rules proposed by the EPA use procedural requests to delay the process, and that these requests are concentrated among members with more experienced staff.

[data] [pre-print] [media]

Bureaucratic Responsiveness to LGBT Americans, American Journal of Political Science. 2020. (with Andrew Proctor)

Following the legalization of same-sex marriage in the US, we field a nationwide audit experiment of license granting offices, and find no evidence of discrimination against same-sex couples.

[data] [pre-print] [media]

Descriptive and Substantive Representation in Congress: Evidence from 80,000 Constituent Requests, American Journal of Political Science. 2019. (with Melinda Ritchie and Erinn Lauterbach)

Using records of constituent-service by members of Congress, we find that women, racial/ethnic minorities, and veterans are more likely to work on behalf of constituents with whom they share identities.

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Politicization and Responsiveness in Executive Agencies, The Journal of Politics. 2019.

I find that executive agencies tend to prioritize the oversight requests of members of the majority party in Congress, but that agencies with more political appointees tend to favor members of the president’s party.

[data] [pre-print]

Who Polices the Administrative State?, American Political Science Review. 2018.

In contrast to patterns found in public hearings, I find that ideological disagreements have little impact on how vigorously members of Congress oversee executive agencies in private (e.g., through letters and calls).

[data] [pre-print] [media]

Presidential Particularism and U.S. Trade Politics, Political Science Research and Methods. 2018. (with Andrew Clarke and Jeffery Jenkins)

In an analysis of unilateral revisions to tariffs and quotas, we find evidence that U.S. presidents use the legal authority granted to them by Congress to favor politicallly valuable states and industries with protectionist orders.

[data] [pre-print] [media]

Delegation or Unilateral Action?, Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization. 2018.

Presidents make policy without the explicit consent of Congress, but must get cooperation from unelected officials. I show how this basic agency problem complicates the apparent appeal of unilateralism, using gun violence research and post-9/11 security as examples.

[pre-print]

Tariff Politics and Congressional Elections: Exploring the Cannon Thesis, Journal of Theoretical Politics. 2017. (with Andrew Clarke and Jeffery Jenkins)

We show that major revisions in tariff policies by Congress typically led to dramatic losses by the majority party in next election. Our findings provide an additional explanation for the eventual delegation of broad trade authority to the president.

[pre-print]

Congressional Investigations and the Electoral Connection, Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization. 2017. (with Justin Peck)

We find that the direct, popular election of Senators led increased oversight of the executive branch when the Senate and presidency were controlled by different parties. This suggests that historically, oversight has partly motivated by partisan politics.

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Informal Consequences of Budget Institutions in the U.S. Congress, Legislative Studies Quarterly. 2016. with Andrew Clarke

We show that members of Congress on appropriations committees syphon off billions from mandatory programs in order to fund discretionary projects, and that this accounting trick is a strategic response to budget rules meant to reduce government spending.

After the Orders: Presidential Memoranda and Unilateral Action, Presidential Studies Quarterly. 2014.

I show that presidents have increasingly turned to ‘presidential memoranda’ to make policy without the explicit consent from Congress, and that patterns in this tool’s use are similar to other kinds of presidential directives (like executive orders).

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Editor-Reviewed

Bureaucratic Politics: Blindspots and Opportunities in Political Science, Annual Review of Political Science. 2023. (with Sarah Brierley, Rachel Potter, and Guillermo Toral)

In this review, we highlight research divides in three prominent areas of bureaucratic politics: the selection and retention of bureaucratic personnel, oversight of bureaucratic activities, and opportunities for influence by actors external to the bureaucracy. Our survey reveals ways scholars from both the American and Comparative traditions can learn from one another.

Presidential Unilateral Power, Annual Review of Political Science. 2021. (with Jon Rogowski)

We review the academic literature on presidential unilateralism and make recommendations for future research.

Causal Inference from Pivotal Politics Theories, The Journal of Politics. 2018. (with Andrew Clarke and Thomas Gray)

We review the academic literature on legislative productivity and make recommendations future research.

Public Perception of the Presidential Toolkit, Presidential Studies Quarterly. 2017. (with Thomas Gray)

In a survey experiment on the regulation of commercial drones, we show that the way government makes policy matters for whether the public approves of it.

“We Can’t Wait”: Barack Obama, Partisan Polarization and the Administrative Presidency, The Forum. 2014. (with Sidney Milkis)

In a review of President Obama’s first term, we argue he has successfully used administrative tools to serve party goals.

In Progress

Does Ambition Counteract Ambition? Working Paper. May 2024. (with Ayse Eldes and Christian Fong)

We show that members of Congress who run for president are no worse as legislators, and on some dimensions, perform better than peers. Though they tend to be absent more as they run a campaign, importantly, they just as likely to try to check the executive branch while in Congress.

The Politics of Predicting the Future Working Paper. July 2024. (with Mark Weiss)

We show that politics influences the kinds of knowledge claims congressional investigators make in oversight reports, motivating partisan teams to make more unreliable statements.

Presidential Capacity Working Paper. August 2024. (with Nicholas Birdsong)

We explain why presidents tend to hire people with communications experience over policy experts, and the White House has staff turnover higher than almost any other public organization.