Publications

Glynn, P.W., J.S. Feingold, A. Baker , S. Banks, I. B. Baums, J. Cole, M.W. Colgan, P. Fong, P.J. Glynn, I. Keith, D. Manzello, B. Riegl, B.I. Ruttenberg, T.B. Smith, M. Vera-Zambrano. State of corals and coral reefs of the Galápagos Islands (Ecuador): Past, present and future. Marine Pollution Bulletin, pp. 717-733, DOI: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2018.06.002.

Stevenson, S., J. Overpeck, J. Fasullo, S. Coats, L. Parsons, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Ault, G, Loope, J. Cole. 2018. Climate Variability, Volcanic Forcing, and Last Millennium Hydroclimate Extremes. J. Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0407.1.

Jimenez, G., J.E. Cole, D.M. Thompson, A.W. Tudhope, 2018. Northern Galápagos corals reveal twentieth century warming in the Eastern Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075323.

Parsons, LA, G. Loope, J.T. Overpeck, T.R. Ault, R. Stouffer, J.E. Cole, Temperature and precipitation variance in CMIP5 simulations and paleoclimate records of the last millennium. 2017. Journal of Climate 30, pp 8885–8912, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0863.1.

Thompson, D.M., J.L. Conroy, A. Collins, J.T. Overpeck, M. Riedinger-Whitmore, J.E. Cole, M.B. Bush, M. Steinitz-Kannan. 2017. Tropical Pacific climate variability over the last 6000 years revealed from Bainbridge Crater Lake, Galápagos. Paleoceanography, DOI 10.1002/2017PA003089.

Cole, J.E. and Tudhope, A.W. 2017. Reef-based reconstructions of eastern Pacific climate variability. In: Glynn PW, Manzello D, eds. Coral Reefs of the Eastern Pacific: Persistence and Loss in a Dynamic Environment. Springer Netherlands. DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-7499-4_19.

Conroy, J.L., A.M. Hudson, J.T. Overpeck, K.-B. Liu, L. Wang, J.E. Cole. The primacy of multidecadal to centennial variability over late-Holocene forced change of the Asian Monsoon on the southern Tibetan Plateau. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 458, 337-348.

Ivory, S.J., M.W. Blome, J.W. King, M.M. McGlue, J.E. Cole, A.S. Cohen, 2016. Environmental change explains cichlid adaptive radiation at Lake Malawi over the past 1.2 million years. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1611028113.

Peyser, C., J-J. Yin, F. Landerer, and J.E. Cole, Pacific sea level rise patterns and global surface temperature variability, 2016. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069401

Sagarin, R., J. Adams, C. Blanchette, R.C. Brusca, J. Chorover, J.E. Cole, F. Micheli, A. Munguia-Vega, C. Rochman, K. Bonine, J. van Haren, P.A. Troch. Between Control and Complexity: Opportunities and Challenges for Marine Mesocosms. 2016. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(7): 1–8, doi: 10.1002/fee.1313.

Griffiths, M.L., *A.K. Kimbrough, M.K. Gagan, R.N. Drysdale, J.E. Cole, K.R. Johnson, J.-X. Zhao, B. Cook, J.C. Hellstrom, W.S. Hantoro. 2016. Western Pacific hydroclimate linked to global climate variability over the past two millennia. Nature Communications 7, 11719, doi:10.1038/ncomms11719.

Conroy, J. L., Collins, A. F., Overpeck, J. T., Bush, M. B., Cole, J. E., & Anderson, D. J. (2015). A 400‐year isotopic record of seabird response to eastern tropical Pacific productivity. Geo: Geography and Environment, 2(2), 137-147.

Capotondi, A., Wittenberg, A. T., Newman, M., Di Lorenzo, E., Yu, J. Y., Braconnot, P., Cole, J., Dewitte, B., Giese, B., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F-F., Karnauskas, K., Kirtman, B., Lee, T., Schneider, N., Xue, Y., & Sang-Wook, Y. (2015). Understanding ENSO diversity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96(6), 921-938.

Thompson, D. M., Cole, J. E., Shen, G. T., Tudhope, A. W., & Meehl, G. A. (2014). Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength. Nature Geoscience. doi: 10.1038/ngeo2321

Ault, T. R., J.E. Cole, J.T. Overpeck, G.T. Pederson and D. Meko, (2014): Assessing the risk of persistent drought using climate model simulations and paleoclimate data, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00282.1

Conroy, J. L., Thompson, D. M., Collins, A., Overpeck, J. T., Bush, M. B., & Cole, J. E. (2014). Climate influences on water and sediment properties of Genovesa Crater Lake, Galápagos. Journal of Paleolimnology, 52(4), 331-347. doi: 10.1007/s10933-014-9797-z

Conroy, J. L., J. T. Overpeck, J. E. Cole,  K. Liu, L. Wang, M. N. Duceac, (2013) Dust and temperature influences on glaciofluvial sediment deposition in southwestern Tibet during the last millennium, GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE  Volume: 107   Pages: 132-144   Published: AUG 2013

Thompson, D. M., T. R. Ault, M. N. Evans, J. E. Cole, J. Emile-Geay, and A. N. LeGrande (2013), Coral-CGCM comparison highlights role of salinity in long-term trends. P. Braconnot, C. Brierley, S.P. Harrison, L. von Gunten (eds) El Niño Southern Oscillation: observation and modeling, PAGES news, 21(2), 60-61.

Ault, T.R., J.E. Cole, G.T. Pederson, J.T, Overpeck, S. St. George, B. Otto-Bliesner, C. Deser, and C. Woodhouse (2013): The continuum of hydroclimate variability in western North America during the last millennium. Journal of Climate 26/16, 5863- 5878, doi; 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00732.1.

Ault, T.R., J.E. Cole, and S. St. George, (2012): The amplitude of decadal to multidecadal variability in precipitation simulated by state-of-the-art climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (21), L21 705, doi;10.1029/2012GL053424.

Thompson, D.M., T.R. Ault, M.N. Evans, J.E. Cole, and J. Emile-Geay (2011), >Comparison of observed and simulated tropical climate trends using a forward model of coral δ18O.  Geophys. Res. Lett., >doi: 10.1029/2011GL048224.

Truebe, S.A., Ault, T.R., and Cole, J.E. (2010). A forward model of cave dripwater δ18O and application to speleothem records. IoP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 9 (1): doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/9/1/012022.

Wagner, J. D., J. E. Cole, J. W. Beck, P. J. Patchett, G. M. Henderson, and H. R. Barnett (2010), Moisture variability in the southwestern US linked to abrupt glacial climate change, Nature Geosciences, 3(2). Supplemental information.

Shanahan, T. M., J.T. Overpeck, K.J. Anchukaitis, J.W. Beck, J.E. Cole, D.L. Dettman, J.A. Peck, C.A. Scholz, and J.W. King (2009). Atlantic Forcing of Persistent Drought in West Africa. Science 324, 377-380.

Conroy, J. L., J. T. Overpeck, J. E. Cole, and M. Steinitz-Kannan (2009), Variable oceanic influences on western North American drought over the last 1200 years, Geophysical Research Letters, 36(L17703).

Ault, T.R., J.E. Cole, M.N. Evans, H. Barnett, A.W. Tudhope, N. Abram, B.K. Linsley (2009) Intensified decadal variability in tropical climate during the late 19th century. Geophysical Research Letters 36, LO8602, doi: 10.1029/2008GL036924

Wagner, A.J., T.P. Guilderson, N.C. Slowey, J.E. Cole (2009). Pre-bomb surface water radiocarbon of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean as recorded in hermatypic corals. Radiocarbon 51 (3), pp. 947-954.

Conroy, J.L., A. Restrepo, J.T. Overpeck, M. Steinetz-Kannan, J.E. Cole, M.Bush, P.A. Colinvaux (2009). Unprecedented recent warming of surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Nature Geosciences 2, 46-50.

Abram, N., M.K. Gagan, J.E.Cole, W.Hantoro, M. Mudelsee (2008). Coral evidence for a recent intensification of the Indian Ocean Dipole. Nature Geosciences 1, 849 – 853. Supplementary information.

Conroy, J.L., J.T. Overpeck, J.E. Cole, M. Steinetz-Kannan, T.R. Shanahan (2008) Holocene changes in eastern tropical Pacific climate inferred from a Galápagos lake sediment record. Quaternary Science Reviews 27, 1166-1180.

Overpeck, J.T. and JE Cole. (2008). Palaeoclimate: The rhythm of the rains. Nature 451, 1061-1063. (News and Views).

Fleitmann, D, R.B. Dunbar, M. McCulloch, M. Mudelsee, M. Vuille, J. Cole, T. McClanahan, C. Andrews (2007). East African soil erosion recorded in a 300 year old coral colony from Kenya. Geophysical Research Letters 34, L04401, doi:10.1029/2006GL028525.

Overpeck, J.T. and J.E. Cole (2007). Climate change: Lessons from a distant monsoon. Nature 445, 270-271. (News and Views)

Jansen, E. et al., (2007) Palaeoclimate. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Solomon, S., D. Qin, et al., eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA (contributing author).

Overpeck, J.T. and J.E. Cole (2006). Abrupt change in the Earth’s climate system. Annual Reviews of Environment and Resources 31. 1-32.

Damassa, T.D., J.E. Cole, H.R. Barnett, T.R. Ault, T.R. McClanahan (2006) Enhanced multidecadal climate variability in the 17th century from coral isotope records in the western Indian Ocean. Paleoceanography 21, PA2016, doi: 10.1029/2005PA001217.

Cohen, A, K. Lezzar, J.E. Cole, D. Dettman, G. Ellis, M. Eagle-Gonneea, P.D. Plisnier, V. Langenberg, M. Blaauw, D. Zilifi (2006). Late Holocene linkages between decade-century scale climate variability and productivity at Lake Tanganyika, Africa. Journal of Paleolimnology 36, 189-209.

Morrill, C., J.T.Overpeck , J.E. Cole, K.-B. Liu, C. Shen and L. Tang (2006) Holocene variations in the Asian monsoon inferred from the geochemistry of lake sediments in central Tibet. Quaternary Research 65 (2), 232-243.

Overpeck, J., K.B. Liu, C. Morrill, J. Cole, C. Shen, D. Anderson, and L. Tang. (2005). Holocene environmental change in the Himalayan-Tibetan Plateau region: Lake sediments and the future. In: Global Change and Mountain Regions: An overview of current knowledge, U.M. Huber, H.K.M. Bugmann, and M.A. Reasoner, eds., Springer, Netherlands, pp. 83-92.

D’Arrigo, R.D., R. Wilson, C. Deser, G. Wiles, E. Cook, R. Villalba, A. Tudhope, J. Cole and B. Linsley (2005). Tropical-North Pacific Climate Linkages Over the Past Four Centuries. Journal of Climate 18, 5253-5265.

Guilderson, T.P., J.E. Cole, and J.R. Southon, (2005) Pre-bomb 14C variability and the Suess Effect in Cariaco Basin Surface Waters as Recorded in Hermatypic Corals. Radiocarbon 47 (1), 57-65.

Overpeck, J.T., J.E. Cole, and P.J. Bartlein, (2005) A “paleoperspective” on climate variability and change, in Climate Change and Biodiversity, T. Lovejoy and L. Hannah, eds., Yale University Press.

Cole, J.E., (2003), Holocene coral records: Windows on tropical climate variability. In: Global Change in the Holocene, McKay, A., R. Battarbee, J. Birks, and F. Oldfield, eds., Arnold, London, pp. 168-184.

Reuer, M.K., E.A. Boyle, and J.E. Cole, (2003) A mid-twentieth century reduction in tropical upwelling inferred from coralline trace element proxies. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 210(3-4), 437-452.

Bradley, R.S., K.Briffa, J.E. Cole, M.K. Hughes, and T.J. Osborn, (2003). Climate of the last millennium, in Paleoclimate, Global Change and the Future, ed. by K. Alverson, R.S. Bradley, and T. Pedersen. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 105-141.

Labeyrie, L., J.E. Cole, K. Alverson, and T. Stocker, (2003). The history of climate dynamics in the Late Quaternary, in Paleoclimate, Global Change and the Future, ed. by K. Alverson, R.S. Bradley, and T. Pedersen. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 33-61.

Morrill, C., J.T. Overpeck, and J.E. Cole. (2003). A synthesis of abrupt changes in the Asian monsoon since the last deglaciation. The Holocene, 13(4), 465-476.

Cole., J. (2003) Dishing the dirt on coral reefs. Nature 421, 705-6, (News and Views: solicited and editorially reviewed, but not peer reviewed)

Clark, C.O., P.J. Webster, and J.E. Cole, (2003), Interdecadal changes in the relationship between the Indian Ocean zonal mode and East African coastal rainfall anomalies, Journal of Climate, 16, 548-554.

Mathieu, R.M., D. Pollard, J. Cole, J.W.C. White, R.S. Webb, S. Thompson, (2002), Simulation of stable water isotope variations by the GENESIS GCM for present-day conditions , J. Geophys. Res. 107, DOI: 10.1029/2001JD900255, 2002.

Cole, J.E., J.T. Overpeck, and E.R. Cook, (2002), Multiyear La Niña events and persistent droughts in the contiguousUnited States Geophysical Research Letters 29(13), DOI: 10.1029/2001GL013561, 25-1, 25-4, 2002.

Cole, J.E., (2001), A slow dance for El Niño, Science 291, 1496-7.

Urban, F.E, J. Cole, and J.T. Overpeck, (2000), Influence of mean climate change on climate variability from a 155-year tropical Pacific coral record. Nature 407, 989-993.

Clark, C.O., J.E. Cole, and P.J. Webster, (2000), Indian Ocean SST and Indian summer rainfall: Predictive relationships and their decadal variability, Journal of Climate 13, 2503-2519.

Cook, E.R., R.D. D’Arrigo, J.E. Cole, D.W. Stahle, and R. Villalba, (2000), Tree-ring records of past ENSO variability and forcing. In: El Nino and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and its Impacts on Natural Ecosystems and Society, ed. by H. Diaz and V. Markgraf, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 297-323.

Cole, J. E., R. B. Dunbar, T. R. McClanahan, and N. Muthiga, (2000), Tropical Pacific forcing of decadal SST variability in the western Indian Ocean over the past two centuries, Science287, 617-619.

Gagan, M.K., L.K. Ayliffe, J.W. Beck, J.E. Cole, E.R.M. Druffel, R.B. Dunbar, D.P. Schrag, (2000),  New Views of Tropical Paleoclimates from Corals, Quaternary Science Reviews 19, 45-64.

Cole, J.E., D. Rind, R. Webb, J. Jouzel, and R. Healy, (1999), Global controls on interannual variability of precipitation d¹⁸O: the relative roles of temperature, precipitation amount, and vapor source region, Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, 14223-14235.

Cole, J.E. and E.R. Cook, (1998), The changing relationship between ENSO and US drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 25, 4529-32.